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Red142
264243.0
179653.0
601727.5
Blue105
702140.9
954515.0
445135.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1409050100150200142105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.4
53.154.5
Auto18.6
Teleop28.2
End6.2
red by 12.1
40.91.2
39.841.0
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Second
2642
#19
43.01.4
41.342.8
Auto10.7
Teleop30.1
End2.2
red by 7.8
4451
#48
35.21.2
33.534.7
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
6017
#47
27.51.4
26.027.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.4
End2.2
red by 12.5
9545
#70
15.01.2
13.815.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsEarned