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Red121
97329.0
258230.0
295935.9
Blue85
313228.4
912839.6
414525.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105104809010011012013014012185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#16
35.90.5
35.435.9
Auto10.8
Teleop22.6
End2.4
blue by 3.7
9128
#34
39.60.7
40.740.0
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
2582
#51
30.00.5
29.530.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.3
End3.3
red by 1.6
3132
#45
28.40.7
29.128.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
Third
973
#10
29.00.5
29.129.6
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
red by 3.9
4145
#52
25.10.7
25.825.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed