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Red115
581342.0
978525.6
402030.1
Blue59
295935.9
954515.0
873828.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10181406012014016018011559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.4
35.135.5
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
red by 6.0
2959
#16
35.91.1
33.532.4
Auto10.8
Teleop22.6
End2.4
Second
4020
#31
30.10.4
28.829.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 1.5
8738
#49
28.61.1
27.926.8
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Third
9785
#50
25.60.4
25.225.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
red by 10.5
9545
#70
15.01.1
14.313.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed