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Red72
975811.9
176837.3
189926.7
Blue153
179653.0
175651.9
168339.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761455010020072153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#21
37.30.6
37.036.5
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
blue by 15.7
53.01.7
48.850.5
Auto18.6
Teleop28.2
End6.2
Second
1899
#54
26.70.6
26.826.2
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
blue by 25.2
1756
#11
51.91.7
43.545.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
Third
9758
#63
11.90.6
12.712.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 27.5
1683
#20
39.41.7
30.332.0
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed81%Ensemble oddsEarned