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Qual 202024 Johnson Division
Red110
445033.0
702140.9
461137.3
Blue85
49427.3
566524.1
306141.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029540608012014016011085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#3
40.90.5
32.6→33.2
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
blue by 0.4
3061
#12
41.30.1
36.4→36.3
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
Second
4611
#8
37.30.5
29.7→30.2
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 10.0
494
#40
27.30.1
29.7→29.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
4450
#24
33.00.5
29.6→30.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
red by 8.9
5665
#36
24.10.1
20.8→20.7
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned59%Ensemble oddsMissed