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Red55
147738.3
313629.9
313228.4
Blue84
95937.2
601727.5
434231.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105632040801201401605584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#32
38.32.4
34.732.3
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
red by 7.4
4342
#38
31.00.9
28.229.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Second
3136
#37
29.92.4
31.629.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End2.9
red by 2.4
6017
#47
27.50.9
24.425.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Third
3132
#45
28.42.6
24.021.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
red by 21.2
9593
#72
7.20.9
9.510.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed