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Red89
439145.2
97329.0
954515.0
Blue83
731229.4
242925.3
189926.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88944060801001201408983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.6
43.143.7
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
red by 15.8
7312
#66
29.40.1
30.730.7
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
Second
973
#10
29.00.6
24.024.6
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
red by 2.3
1899
#54
26.70.1
26.226.1
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Third
9545
#70
15.00.6
13.213.8
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.6
blue by 10.3
2429
#29
25.30.1
27.127.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned