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Red78
581342.0
295935.9
237512.1
Blue76
912839.6
975811.9
168339.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849940601201401601807876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.1
35.535.4
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
red by 2.4
9128
#34Sur
39.61.1
43.542.4
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
2959
#16Sur
35.90.1
32.432.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.6
End2.4
blue by 3.5
1683
#20
39.41.1
32.030.9
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Third
2375
#62
12.10.1
9.69.5
Auto7.7
Teleop4.2
End0.3
red by 0.3
9758
#63
11.91.1
12.111.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed