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Red69
258230.0
285127.7
978525.6
Blue105
414525.1
170651.3
95797.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91962040608012014016018069105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#51Sur
30.01.3
29.027.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.3
End3.3
blue by 21.3
51.31.2
49.450.6
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
2851
#42
27.71.3
28.227.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 2.6
4145
#52Sur
25.11.2
29.230.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Third
9785
#50
25.61.3
25.624.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
red by 18.4
9579
#71
7.21.4
8.09.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed