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Qual 282024 Johnson Division
Red65
566524.1
402030.1
168425.1
Blue103
176837.3
91206.9
170140.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789020406010012014016065103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#31
30.10.4
29.2→28.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End2.9
blue by 10.3
1701
#14
40.31.5
36.5→38.1
Auto14.4
Teleop23.4
End2.6
Second
1684
#56
25.10.4
21.8→21.4
Auto5.8
Teleop17.7
End1.7
blue by 12.1
1768
#21
37.31.5
36.5→38.0
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Third
5665
#36
24.10.4
20.7→20.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End0.3
red by 17.2
9120
#68
6.91.5
7.0→8.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed