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Red86
822.8
95937.2
175651.9
Blue96
411224.3
445033.0
20120.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86780501001508696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#11
51.90.6
45.245.8
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
red by 18.9
4450
#24
33.00.5
30.130.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
8
#53
22.80.6
20.921.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 1.5
4112
#64
24.30.5
23.824.3
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End0.7
Third
9593
#72
7.20.6
10.411.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 13.5
201
#30
20.70.5
17.317.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned