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Qual 302024 Johnson Division
Red79
287512.7
558425.9
306141.3
Blue84
601727.5
147738.3
558724.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77912040601001201401607984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#12
41.30.2
36.3→36.5
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
red by 2.9
1477
#32
38.30.2
32.3→32.6
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
Second
5584
#46
25.90.2
23.7→24.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 1.5
6017
#47
27.50.2
25.3→25.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Third
2875
#69
12.70.2
11.6→11.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 12.0
5587
#43
24.80.2
22.7→22.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned