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Red46
95797.2
203511.0
313228.4
Blue91
566524.1
313629.9
873828.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439402060801201401604691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#45
28.40.1
21.922.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
blue by 1.5
3136
#37
29.90.2
31.431.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Second
2035
#73
11.00.1
13.213.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 17.6
8738
#49
28.60.2
26.926.8
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Third
9579
#71
7.20.1
9.49.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 17.0
5665
#36
24.10.2
20.220.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned