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Red114
176837.3
237512.1
178740.5
Blue74
954515.0
52522.7
741921.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955920408012014011474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#15
40.51.2
34.235.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
red by 17.7
525
#59
22.70.5
25.425.9
Auto11.9
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
1768
#21
37.31.2
38.039.2
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
red by 15.3
7419
#41
21.90.5
18.418.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
2375
#62
12.11.2
9.510.7
Auto7.7
Teleop4.2
End0.3
blue by 2.9
9545
#70
15.00.5
13.814.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed