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Red89
265935.1
402030.1
411810.0
Blue131
702140.9
181639.1
319326.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711042040608012014016089131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.4
29.931.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
blue by 5.8
40.92.0
33.435.4
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Second
4020
#31
30.11.4
28.730.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End2.9
blue by 9.0
1816
#18
39.12.0
34.436.4
Auto11.5
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Third
4118
#74
10.01.4
9.510.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.6
End2.6
blue by 16.0
3193
#44
26.02.0
22.624.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned