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Red69
402030.1
501032.6
95937.2
Blue96
495212.5
581342.0
243822.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82712040601001206996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#26
32.60.3
33.533.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
blue by 9.3
42.01.7
35.437.1
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Second
4020
#31
30.10.3
30.129.8
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 7.2
2438
#28
22.91.7
19.521.2
Auto10.0
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Third
9593
#72
7.20.3
9.59.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 5.3
4952
#67
12.51.7
10.412.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned