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Red129
439145.2
440529.7
179653.0
Blue85
445033.0
363729.8
978525.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141885010015020012985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.1
50.850.9
Auto18.6
Teleop28.2
End6.2
red by 20.0
4450
#24
33.00.7
33.132.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
45.20.1
43.343.4
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
red by 15.4
3637
#27
29.80.7
27.126.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Third
4405
#23
29.70.1
26.927.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End1.6
red by 4.1
9785
#50
25.60.7
25.825.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned