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Red92
168425.1
313228.4
418825.8
Blue86
80124.4
494418.9
445135.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70772040601001201409286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#45
28.41.7
22.023.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
blue by 6.7
4451
#48
35.21.2
29.130.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
4188
#65
25.81.7
21.723.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End0.2
red by 1.4
801
#58
24.41.2
24.125.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
1684
#56
25.11.7
20.322.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.7
End1.7
red by 6.2
4944
#57
18.91.2
15.316.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed