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Red124
295935.9
168339.4
702140.9
Blue83
438127.1
558425.9
242925.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167920406010014016018012483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.5
35.437.0
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 13.7
4381
#22
27.10.5
27.327.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Second
1683
#20
39.41.5
32.734.2
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
red by 13.4
5584
#46
25.90.5
23.624.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Third
2959
#16
35.91.5
32.834.4
Auto10.8
Teleop22.6
End2.4
red by 10.7
2429
#29
25.30.5
25.225.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed