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Red81
95797.2
741921.9
175651.9
Blue117
402030.1
363729.8
439145.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111420406010014016018081117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#11
51.90.1
49.449.3
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
red by 6.7
45.20.8
43.444.2
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
Second
7419
#41
21.90.1
19.719.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 8.2
4020
#31
30.10.8
29.830.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Third
9579
#71
7.20.1
8.18.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 22.6
3637
#27
29.80.8
26.427.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsEarned