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Red108
501032.6
566524.1
141430.8
Blue96
964422.5
512626.0
264243.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9785406012014016010896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#26
32.60.8
33.234.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
blue by 10.4
2642
#19
43.01.2
35.436.6
Auto10.7
Teleop30.1
End2.2
Second
1414
#25
30.80.8
30.931.7
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
red by 4.9
5126
#60
26.01.2
22.623.8
Auto11.4
Teleop14.3
End0.3
Third
5665
#36
24.10.8
22.223.0
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End0.3
red by 1.6
9644
#39
22.51.2
20.321.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed