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Red107
170651.3
20120.7
461137.3
Blue98
558425.9
80124.4
179653.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117110809010013014015016010798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.2
51.851.6
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
blue by 1.7
53.00.8
50.950.1
Auto18.6
Teleop28.2
End6.2
Second
37.30.2
33.733.4
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 11.4
5584
#46
25.90.8
24.023.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Third
201
#30
20.70.2
19.719.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 3.7
801
#58
24.40.8
25.324.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsEarned