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Red34
91206.9
95937.2
558724.8
Blue74
494418.9
242925.3
176837.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399802060801201401603474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#43
24.81.2
25.224.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
blue by 12.5
1768
#21
37.30.6
39.538.9
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Second
9593
#72
7.21.2
9.38.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 18.1
2429
#29
25.30.6
25.625.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
9120
#68
6.91.2
7.86.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 12.0
4944
#57
18.90.6
16.515.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed