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Red79
32533.8
438127.1
731229.4
Blue89
237512.1
445033.0
168425.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104662040801201401607989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#33
33.81.1
34.333.3
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End2.7
red by 0.8
4450
#24
33.01.6
32.434.0
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
7312
#66
29.41.1
27.826.7
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
red by 4.3
1684
#56
25.11.6
22.023.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.7
End1.7
Third
4381
#22
27.11.1
27.726.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End3.6
red by 15.0
2375
#62
12.11.6
10.011.6
Auto7.7
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed