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Qual 722024 Johnson Division
Red109
418825.8
178740.5
440529.7
Blue128
702140.9
174732.7
147738.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211150150200109128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#15
40.51.2
35.1→36.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
blue by 0.4
7021
#3
40.91.5
37.0→38.5
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Second
4405
#23
29.71.2
27.1→28.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End1.6
blue by 8.6
1477
#32
38.31.5
32.0→33.5
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
Third
4188
#65
25.81.2
23.4→24.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End0.2
blue by 6.9
1747
#55
32.71.5
29.1→30.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsEarned