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Red49
414525.1
52522.7
203511.0
Blue93
402030.1
476643.7
512626.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671070501504993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#52
25.11.1
28.727.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 18.7
4766
#17
43.70.0
37.937.9
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
525
#59
22.71.1
24.323.2
Auto11.9
Teleop9.4
End1.4
blue by 7.3
4020
#31
30.10.0
30.730.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Third
2035
#73
11.01.1
12.611.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 14.9
5126
#60
26.00.0
23.823.9
Auto11.4
Teleop14.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed