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Red98
80124.4
461137.3
822.8
Blue89
287734.0
501032.6
97329.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861082040601001201401601809889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.3
33.433.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 3.3
34.00.4
35.034.7
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1
Second
801
#58
24.40.3
24.524.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 8.2
5010
#26
32.60.4
34.033.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
Third
8
#53
22.80.3
22.122.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 6.2
973
#10
29.00.4
25.725.3
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned