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Red109
243822.9
264243.0
189926.7
Blue102
445033.0
91206.9
558425.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9667204080120140160109102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#19
43.01.7
36.638.3
Auto10.7
Teleop30.1
End2.2
red by 10.0
4450
#24
33.01.6
34.035.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
1899
#54
26.71.7
25.627.3
Auto10.4
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 0.7
5584
#46
25.91.6
23.224.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Third
2438
#28
22.91.7
21.122.8
Auto10.0
Teleop9.8
End3.1
red by 15.9
9120
#68
6.91.6
6.68.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed