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Red82
363729.8
873828.6
975811.9
Blue94
242925.3
147738.3
168425.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69940501508294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#27
29.81.1
27.228.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.7
End2.2
blue by 8.5
1477
#32
38.30.8
33.534.3
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
Second
8738
#49
28.61.1
28.129.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End2.5
red by 3.3
2429
#29
25.30.8
25.025.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
9758
#63
11.91.1
10.311.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 13.2
1684
#56
25.10.8
23.724.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed