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Red91
285127.7
58920.0
434231.0
Blue113
741921.9
445135.2
168339.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8598406012014016091113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#38
31.00.0
29.729.7
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 8.4
1683
#20
39.41.7
36.237.9
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Second
2851
#42
27.70.0
27.127.1
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 7.4
4451
#48
35.21.7
31.633.3
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
589
#61
20.00.0
22.122.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End2.6
blue by 1.9
7419
#41
21.91.7
19.621.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed