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Red99
175651.9
558724.8
319326.0
Blue87
418825.8
501032.6
203511.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12071501001502009987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#11
51.90.3
50.650.3
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
red by 19.3
5010
#26
32.60.8
33.634.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7
Second
3193
#44
26.00.3
27.226.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
red by 0.1
4188
#65
25.80.8
24.625.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End0.2
Third
5587
#43
24.80.3
25.425.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 13.7
2035
#73
11.00.8
11.512.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed