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Red129
731229.4
702140.9
540636.1
Blue91
176837.3
141430.8
978525.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107107809010011012013012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.8
38.540.3
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 3.6
1768
#21
37.30.7
38.938.1
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Second
5406
#13
36.11.8
31.433.3
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
red by 5.2
1414
#25
30.80.7
31.731.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
Third
7312
#66
29.41.8
26.728.5
Auto12.4
Teleop13.4
End3.6
red by 3.8
9785
#50
25.60.7
26.625.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
90%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed