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Red90
174732.7
97329.0
52522.7
Blue74
566524.1
975811.9
445033.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91770501001502009074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#55
32.70.3
31.832.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.5
End2.8
blue by 0.3
4450
#24
33.00.0
35.635.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
973
#10
29.00.3
25.325.6
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
red by 4.8
5665
#36
24.10.0
24.324.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End0.3
Third
525
#59
22.70.3
23.223.5
Auto11.9
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 10.9
9758
#63
11.90.0
11.411.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed