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Red131
313228.4
181639.1
476643.7
Blue57
964422.5
242925.3
364731.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117875010015020013157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#17
43.71.8
37.939.7
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
red by 11.8
3647
#35
31.91.7
35.133.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Second
1816
#18
39.11.8
38.240.0
Auto11.5
Teleop26.2
End1.4
red by 13.8
2429
#29
25.31.7
25.824.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
3132
#45
28.41.8
26.328.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End2.9
red by 5.9
9644
#39
22.51.7
21.419.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed