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Red45
80124.4
287512.7
237512.1
Blue136
540636.1
265935.1
439145.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44134010015020045136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#58
24.40.4
24.724.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 20.8
45.21.2
45.947.1
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
Second
2875
#69
12.70.4
13.913.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 23.3
5406
#13
36.11.2
33.334.5
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
Third
2375
#62
12.10.4
11.711.4
Auto7.7
Teleop4.2
End0.3
blue by 22.9
35.11.2
31.733.0
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned