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Red139
306141.3
147738.3
581342.0
Blue108
702140.9
175651.9
912839.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13015150100200250139108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.4
41.541.1
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
blue by 10.0
1756
#11
51.90.7
52.651.9
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
Second
3061
#12
41.30.4
40.840.4
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
red by 0.4
40.90.7
41.640.9
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Third
1477
#32
38.30.4
37.937.5
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7
blue by 1.3
9128
#34
39.60.7
40.339.6
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9