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Red135
97329.0
179653.0
170651.3
Blue138
581342.0
147738.3
306141.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151129100200250135138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.1
53.153.0
Auto18.6
Teleop28.2
End6.2
red by 11.0
42.00.3
41.141.4
Auto15.3
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Second
51.30.1
51.451.3
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 10.0
3061
#12
41.30.3
40.440.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End2.5
Third
973
#10
29.00.1
29.129.0
Auto7.7
Teleop19.9
End1.4
blue by 9.4
1477
#32
38.30.3
37.537.8
Auto14.8
Teleop19.9
End3.7