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Red102
265935.1
168339.4
141430.8
Blue128
287734.0
176837.3
445135.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118116100110120130140102128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#20
39.40.1
39.839.7
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End0.9
red by 2.1
1768
#21
37.30.5
36.837.3
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Second
35.10.1
35.535.4
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.9
blue by 0.1
4451
#48
35.20.5
34.735.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
1414
#25
30.80.1
31.231.1
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End0.4
blue by 3.1
34.00.5
33.534.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1