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Red135
434231.0
702140.9
175651.9
Blue152
476643.7
461137.3
178740.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137133100120160180135152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#11
51.90.2
52.152.3
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
red by 8.2
4766
#17
43.70.7
43.644.2
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
40.90.2
41.041.2
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 0.4
1787
#15
40.50.7
40.341.0
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
Third
4342
#38
31.00.2
30.731.0
Auto12.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 6.3
37.30.7
37.137.8
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4