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Red122
170140.3
540636.1
543640.3
Blue131
264243.0
439145.2
364731.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281340200300400500600700800122131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
40.30.0
40.440.3
Auto14.4
Teleop23.4
End2.6
blue by 4.8
45.20.2
45.545.7
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
Second
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.8
End3.4
blue by 2.7
2642
#19
43.00.2
42.843.0
Auto10.7
Teleop30.1
End2.2
Third
5406
#13
36.10.0
36.136.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
red by 4.1
3647
#35
31.90.2
32.232.5
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End1.6