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Red178
912839.6
175651.9
702140.9
Blue111
543640.3
540636.1
501032.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211650100200178111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#11
51.90.9
52.353.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
red by 11.6
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.8
End3.4
Second
40.90.9
41.242.2
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 4.8
5406
#13
36.10.0
36.036.1
Auto11.4
Teleop19.0
End5.7
Third
9128
#34
39.60.9
40.040.9
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 7.0
5010
#26
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.9
End2.7