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Red129
179653.0
170651.3
49427.3
Blue103
287734.0
176837.3
445135.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15411250100200129103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.2
54.053.7
Auto18.6
Teleop28.2
End6.2
red by 15.7
1768
#21
37.30.1
37.337.2
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Second
51.30.2
52.352.0
Auto17.0
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 16.1
4451
#48
35.20.1
35.235.1
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Third
494
#40
27.30.2
28.227.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End5.0
blue by 6.6
34.00.1
34.033.9
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1