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Red143
178740.5
461137.3
476643.7
Blue85
181639.1
439145.2
364731.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712910012016018014385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#17
43.70.4
44.244.7
Auto13.9
Teleop26.1
End3.7
blue by 1.4
45.20.8
45.744.9
Auto17.1
Teleop25.2
End2.9
Second
1787
#15
40.50.4
41.041.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
red by 1.4
1816
#18
39.10.8
39.638.8
Auto11.5
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Third
37.30.4
37.838.3
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
red by 5.3
3647
#35
31.90.8
32.531.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End1.6