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Red123
445135.2
287734.0
176837.3
Blue128
702140.9
175651.9
912839.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11215750100200250123128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#21
37.30.0
37.237.3
Auto14.0
Teleop21.9
End1.3
blue by 14.7
1756
#11
51.90.6
53.252.6
Auto13.1
Teleop32.6
End6.1
Second
4451
#48
35.20.0
35.135.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 5.7
40.90.6
42.241.6
Auto14.5
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Third
34.00.0
33.934.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End4.1
blue by 5.6
9128
#34
39.60.6
40.940.3
Auto13.6
Teleop23.2
End2.9