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Red52
245712.9
18278.3
173029.7
Blue29
241012.8
19946.3
512616.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55340204060801005229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.5
25.124.6
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
red by 13.3
5126
#16
16.50.7
13.312.7
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
2457
#25
12.90.5
12.111.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 0.1
2410
#26
12.80.7
10.69.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
1827
#32
8.30.8
10.09.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 2.0
1994
#30
6.30.7
9.38.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed