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Qual 122024 Heartland Regional
Red45
234512.6
176418.5
176910.2
Blue33
318414.9
177511.3
882517.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37502060804533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#12
18.50.6
11.4→12.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 1.0
8825
#24
17.51.4
17.3→15.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Second
2345
#27
12.60.6
11.3→11.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
blue by 2.3
3184
#29
14.91.4
16.2→14.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Third
1769
#31
10.20.6
12.1→12.7
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 1.1
1775
#18
11.31.4
9.8→8.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed