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Qual 112024 Heartland Regional
Red42
526812.0
198734.8
93516.2
Blue53
256014.5
580125.3
51899.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5940020801001201404253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#5
34.80.6
31.7→31.1
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
red by 9.5
5801
#4
25.31.0
19.5→20.5
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
935
#19
16.21.0
10.3→9.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 1.7
2560
#13
14.51.6
10.2→11.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
5268
#34
12.01.0
9.3→8.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
red by 2.7
5189
#20
9.21.6
8.7→10.3
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed