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Red55
172312.1
247022.2
9378.6
Blue4
50989.2
94458.9
87196.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383110205060554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#15
22.21.8
15.717.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 13.0
5098
#21
9.21.7
9.78.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Second
1723
#33
12.11.1
10.211.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 3.2
9445
#28
8.92.8
9.87.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
937
#14
8.61.8
7.99.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 2.0
8719
#23
6.72.8
9.56.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed