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Red33
511916.9
512616.5
480914.2
Blue69
306130.6
173029.7
49597.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3760020801003369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.3
13.713.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 13.7
30.61.2
16.117.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
Second
5126
#16
16.50.3
13.713.3
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 13.3
29.70.8
24.325.1
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
Third
4809
#17
14.20.3
8.68.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 6.4
4959
#22
7.81.2
10.912.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed