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Red38
514115.7
184711.8
18278.3
Blue63
19946.3
198628.6
171021.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29540204060801003863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.3
11.311.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 13.0
28.61.5
23.224.7
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Second
1847
#35
11.80.4
8.28.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 9.6
21.41.5
14.916.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
1827
#32
8.30.4
9.610.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 2.0
1994
#30
6.31.5
7.89.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed